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CD Corellano vs Ezcabarte

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between CD Corellano and Ezcabarte finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Corellano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CD Corellano
15%
Draws
0%
Ezcabarte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ezcabarte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Corellano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 68%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Corellano Ezcabarte
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Ezcabarte
3:2
Jan 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Corellano
1:1
May 4, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Ezcabarte
1:0
Dec 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Corellano
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Corellano 50 / 100
Ezcabarte 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Corellano Ezcabarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Corellano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Ezcabarte has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Ezcabarte conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

CD Corellano found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Ezcabarte
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Corellano

(Home)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
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Ezcabarte

(Away)
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Beti Kozkor
3 : 0
Ezcabarte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)