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CD Corellano vs Valtierrano

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Tercera Division - Group 15 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2014/2015 game between CD Corellano and Valtierrano finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Corellano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CD Corellano
15%
Draws
12%
Valtierrano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • CD Corellano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CD Corellano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 20%
Valtierrano Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Corellano Valtierrano
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 23
Goals Scored 1.14 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Valtierrano
5:0
Dec 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs CD Corellano
2:4
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Valtierrano
5:2
Dec 3, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs CD Corellano
3:1
Feb 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Valtierrano vs CD Corellano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Corellano 85 / 100
Valtierrano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Corellano Valtierrano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Corellano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valtierrano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Valtierrano lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Corellano scored in 54% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Corellano VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Corellano

(Home)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
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Valtierrano

(Away)
13 May
CD Corellano
5 : 0
Valtierrano
06 May
Valtierrano
0 : 0
Txantrea
29 Apr
Oberena
3 : 0
Valtierrano
22 Apr
Valtierrano
1 : 3
Cirbonero
13 Apr
Idoya
3 : 0
Valtierrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 28 5 5 71:30 89
2 AD San Juan 38 25 6 7 53:16 81
3 Izarra 38 21 10 7 68:35 73
4 Osasuna B 38 21 9 8 64:31 72
5 Mutilvera 38 19 10 9 65:39 67
6 Oberena 38 18 8 12 56:43 62
7 Cortes 38 16 9 13 47:48 57
8 Burlades 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
9 Huarte 38 16 8 14 51:44 56
10 Iruna 38 15 8 15 46:45 53
11 Txantrea 38 13 12 13 56:53 51
12 Valle Egues 38 13 9 16 65:63 48
13 Cirbonero 38 12 10 16 44:48 46
14 CD Ardoi 38 13 5 20 42:52 44
15 Subiza 38 11 8 19 52:77 41
16 Pamplona 38 10 11 17 40:55 41
17 CD Beti Onak 38 9 12 17 39:58 39
18 Idoya 38 11 4 23 35:69 37
19 Valtierrano 38 5 9 24 31:75 24
20 CD Corellano 38 4 5 29 27:78 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)