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Stadium Background

CD Coria vs Barakaldo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio La Isla, Coria
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Palacin P.
Assist: Blanco A.
31' Event
Ramos I.
Assist: Palacin P.
40' Event
Badiola A.
Assist: Mateos E.

AI Match Summary

CD Coria in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Coria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Coria
35%
Draws
32%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Barakaldo haven't matched CD Coria's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 16%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Coria Barakaldo
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CD Coria vs Barakaldo
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacin P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramos I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Barakaldo Compare

Top Goalscorer Badiola A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Coria 31 / 100
Barakaldo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Coria Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barakaldo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Coria scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Barakaldo has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: CD Coria stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Coria VS Barakaldo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Coria

(Home)
18 Oct
CD Coria
2 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
10 Oct
CD Coria
2 : 4
CD Extremadura
04 Oct
Zamora
2 : 0
CD Coria
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6

Barakaldo

(Away)
17 Oct
Barakaldo
2 : 0
Mirandes
10 Oct
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Barakaldo
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3
Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)