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CD Coria vs Ilicitano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Hernandez A.
32' Event
Nunez B.
57' Event
Fernandez T.

AI Match Summary

CD Coria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Coria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CD Coria
11%
Draws
9%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: CD Coria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Coria have won more games recently than Ilicitano.
  • Win probability leans CD Coria's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 18%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Coria Ilicitano
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Coria vs Ilicitano
4:0
Dec 14, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs CD Coria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ilicitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Coria 76 / 100
Ilicitano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Coria Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

CD Coria found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

CD Coria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Coria VS Ilicitano
2.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Coria

(Home)
29 Jul
Valladolid
4 : 1
CD Coria
25 Jul
CD Coria
3 : 1
Cordoba B
31 May
Real Oviedo B
0 : 1
CD Coria
24 May
CD Coria
3 : 0
Real Oviedo B
17 May
Deportiva Minera
0 : 1
CD Coria
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Ilicitano

(Away)
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
CD Coria
4 : 0
Ilicitano
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Ilicitano
04 Apr
Ilicitano
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)