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CD Coria vs RCP Valverdeno Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pino F.

AI Match Summary

CD Coria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Coria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CD Coria
20%
Draws
44%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RCP Valverdeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Coria lately — more wins on the board than RCP Valverdeno.
  • CD Coria are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 68%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Coria RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.69 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Coria vs RCP Valverdeno
1:0
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Coria
0:2
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Coria vs RCP Valverdeno
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Coria
0:1
Apr 26, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Coria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Pino F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Coria 77 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Coria RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Coria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Coria found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

RCP Valverdeno let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

CD Coria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: RCP Valverdeno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Coria VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Coria

(Home)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 7

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)