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CD Diocesano vs CD Badajoz

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
CD Diocesano Logo

CD Diocesano

0 - 2
FT
CD Badajoz Logo

CD Badajoz

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bermudez J.
64' Event
Bermudez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 game between CD Diocesano and CD Badajoz finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Badajoz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Diocesano
35%
Draws
45%
CD Badajoz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Badajoz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Badajoz come out ahead of CD Diocesano on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Badajoz a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 10%
CD Badajoz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Diocesano CD Badajoz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 21
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.87 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CD Badajoz
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs CD Diocesano
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Badajoz vs CD Diocesano
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CD Badajoz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Diocesano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

CD Badajoz Compare

Top Goalscorer Bermudez J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.9
Avg xA / game 1.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Diocesano 10 / 100
CD Badajoz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Diocesano CD Badajoz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Badajoz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Diocesano scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

CD Diocesano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CD Badajoz has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Diocesano VS CD Badajoz
1.67 Goals Scored 2.38
4 Goals Conceded 0.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Diocesano

(Home)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

CD Badajoz

(Away)
06 Sept
CD Badajoz
2 : 1
Tenerife B
30 Aug
Pueblonuevo
0 : 5
CD Badajoz
19 Aug
Puebla de la Calzada
0 : 2
CD Badajoz
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)