Sport Picks
CD Diocesano vs CF Trujillo Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 
Match Events
2'
2'
Fernandez A.
6'
6'
Carrasco A.
32'
32'
Mena I.
AI Match Summary
CD Diocesano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Diocesano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Diocesano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Diocesano lately — more wins on the board than CF Trujillo.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and CD Diocesano have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 15%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Diocesano | CF Trujillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Diocesano vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CF Trujillo
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Diocesano
1:4
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs CD Diocesano
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs CF Trujillo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Diocesano Compare
Top Goalscorer Carrasco A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mena I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
CF Trujillo Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Diocesano 31 / 100
CF Trujillo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Diocesano CF Trujillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CF Trujillo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
CD Diocesano found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: CD Diocesano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Diocesano VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Diocesano
(Home) 10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
Page 1 of 8
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
29 Mar
CD Diocesano
1 : 0 Puebla de la Calzada
15 Mar
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Montehermoso
Page 1 of 4
CF Trujillo
(Away) 23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4 CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1 CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 CF Trujillo
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2 CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0 CF Trujillo
30 Mar
Jaraiz
2 : 1 CF Trujillo
15 Mar
AD Llerenense
3 : 0 CF Trujillo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 73:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 65:28 | 71 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 65:40 | 69 |
| 4 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:20 | 63 |
| 6 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 58:38 | 58 |
| 7 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 31:31 | 54 |
| 8 | Jerez CF | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 50:48 | 51 |
| 9 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 55:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Moralo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Montijo | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:71 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 14 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 35:56 | 32 |
| 15 | Castuera | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 46:64 | 29 |
| 16 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 32:63 | 28 |
| 17 | Arroyo | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 32:70 | 22 |
| 18 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 26:79 | 17 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
