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CD Diocesano vs Gevora

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nagera A.
42' Event
Nagera A.
47' Event
Monroy J.

AI Match Summary

CD Diocesano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Diocesano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Diocesano
39%
Draws
30%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Diocesano haven't matched Gevora's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 16%
Gevora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Diocesano Gevora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs Gevora
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs CD Diocesano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Diocesano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagera A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gevora Compare

Top Goalscorer Monroy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Diocesano 31 / 100
Gevora 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Diocesano Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Diocesano found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Gevora let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: CD Diocesano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Diocesano VS Gevora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Diocesano

(Home)
10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4
SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1
CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0
Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

Gevora

(Away)
10 May
CD Badajoz
3 : 0
Gevora
03 May
Gevora
1 : 1
Pueblonuevo
26 Apr
Montijo
0 : 1
Gevora
19 Apr
Gevora
2 : 1
Moralo
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)