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CD Estepona vs Aguilas FC

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Sanchez A.
64' Event
Herrero A.
90' Event
Scepovic S.

AI Match Summary

CD Estepona host Aguilas FC in the Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: CD Estepona at 1.75 goals for, 0.88 against; Aguilas FC at 1.5 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor CD Estepona slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.19, favoring Aguilas FC. Aguilas FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CD Estepona
39%
Draws
31%
Aguilas FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Aguilas FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CD Estepona.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 68%
Aguilas FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Estepona Aguilas FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Aguilas FC
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs CD Estepona
2:1
Feb 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Aguilas FC
3:1
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs CD Estepona
0:0
Jan 21, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Aguilas FC vs CD Estepona
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Scepovic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aguilas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Estepona 41 / 100
Aguilas FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Estepona Aguilas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Aguilas FC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CD Estepona went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Estepona VS Aguilas FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621