Sport Picks
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Davila Y.
14'
14'
Leon S.
24'
24'
Marin A.
AI Match Summary
CD Estepona in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Estepona.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Estepona at 1.34 per game, La Union (Malacitano) at 1.33.
- 35% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 20%
La Union (Malacitano) Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Estepona | La Union (Malacitano) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs CD Estepona
0:3
Mar 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
La Union (Malacitano) vs CD Estepona
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs La Union (Malacitano)
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Estepona Compare
Top Goalscorer Leon S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8
La Union (Malacitano) Compare
Top Goalscorer Davila Y.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Estepona 36 / 100
La Union (Malacitano) 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Estepona La Union (Malacitano)
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Union (Malacitano) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: La Union (Malacitano) conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
CD Estepona scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
CD Estepona went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
CD Estepona VS La Union (Malacitano)
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Estepona
(Home) 12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4 Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 CD Estepona
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4 Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0 Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
26 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1 Melilla
Page 1 of 3
La Union (Malacitano)
(Away) 03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0 Puente Genil
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1 UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
CD Extremadura
4 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
12 Apr
Jaen
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
04 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 La Union (Malacitano)
21 Mar
Xerez CD
2 : 1 La Union (Malacitano)
11 Mar
Linares
0 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
