Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Lorenzo O.
59'
59'
Duarte J.
70'
70'
Ayala J. A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
35%
10%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Estepona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Estepona have won more games recently than Melilla.
- 55% — that's where the model lands on CD Estepona taking it.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Estepona | Melilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Melilla
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs CD Estepona
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Estepona vs Melilla
0:2
Mar 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Estepona vs Melilla
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Melilla vs CD Estepona
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Estepona Compare
Top Goalscorer Duarte J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Melilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Lorenzo O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Estepona 86 / 100
Melilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Estepona Melilla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Estepona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Estepona went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
CD Estepona's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Melilla has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
CD Estepona VS Melilla
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Estepona
(Home) 16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 CD Estepona
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 CD Estepona
26 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 1 Aguilas FC
19 Apr
Linares
2 : 3 CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1 Real Madrid C
26 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1 Melilla
21 Mar
CD Estepona
1 : 1 CD Extremadura
08 Mar
CD Estepona
3 : 2 La Union (Malacitano)
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Melilla
(Away) 03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4 Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1 Aguilas FC
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1 Melilla
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03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0 Melilla
05 Apr
CD Estepona
1 : 1 Melilla
18 Mar
CD Extremadura
1 : 0 Melilla
15 Mar
Xerez Deportivo FC
2 : 1 Melilla
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
