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CD Estepona vs Melilla

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tovar A.
85' Event
Subias Alfonso D.

AI Match Summary

Melilla in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
CD Estepona
35%
Draws
20%
Melilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Melilla haven't matched CD Estepona's recent run of results.
  • CD Estepona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 68%
Melilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Estepona Melilla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Melilla
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Melilla vs CD Estepona
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 Club Friendly
CD Estepona vs Melilla
0:2
Mar 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
CD Estepona vs Melilla
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Melilla vs CD Estepona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Estepona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Melilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Tovar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Subias Alfonso D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Estepona 77 / 100
Melilla 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Estepona Melilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Estepona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Estepona went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Estepona found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Melilla has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

CD Estepona VS Melilla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Estepona

(Home)
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2
CD Estepona
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
26 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 1
Aguilas FC
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Melilla

(Away)
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2
Melilla
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3
Melilla
26 Apr
Melilla
2 : 4
Linares
19 Apr
Recreativo Huelva
1 : 0
Melilla
12 Apr
Melilla
0 : 1
Aguilas FC
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