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CD Extremadura vs Arroyo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
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Match Events

15' Event
Rosales F.
20' Event
Barace I.
84' Event
Gueye M.

AI Match Summary

CD Extremadura in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Extremadura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
CD Extremadura
15%
Draws
12%
Arroyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Extremadura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Arroyo haven't matched CD Extremadura's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on CD Extremadura taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 68%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Extremadura Arroyo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 3
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Extremadura vs Arroyo
3:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs CD Extremadura
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Extremadura Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosales F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barace I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Arroyo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Extremadura 95 / 100
Arroyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Extremadura Arroyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Extremadura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Extremadura's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Arroyo let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Arroyo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Extremadura VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Extremadura

(Home)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Zamora
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 7

Arroyo

(Away)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)