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CD Extremadura vs Leonesa Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Francisco de la Hera, Almendralejo
CD Extremadura Logo

CD Extremadura

0 - 1
FT
Leonesa Logo

Leonesa

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Vazquez J.
63'
Sub
Ballesteros Y. In: Lecic L.
Out: Ballesteros Y.
63'
Sub
Villar J. In: Nordin M.
Out: Villar J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between CD Extremadura and Leonesa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leonesa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CD Extremadura
15%
Draws
46%
Leonesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Extremadura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Extremadura a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD Extremadura Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Extremadura Leonesa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.76 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
CD Extremadura vs Leonesa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Extremadura Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Benito P. A. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Extremadura 42 / 100
Leonesa 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Extremadura Leonesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Extremadura found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Leonesa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Extremadura remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Extremadura VS Leonesa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Extremadura

(Home)
04 Oct
Ath Bilbao B
1 : 3
CD Extremadura
26 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Zamora
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0
Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6

Leonesa

(Away)
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)