Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alaior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alaior lately — more wins on the board than CD Ferrerias.
- Model gives Alaior a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 20%
Alaior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Ferrerias | Alaior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alaior
0:0
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Ferrerias
0:1
Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs CD Ferrerias
0:1
Oct 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alaior
0:0
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Alaior
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Ferrerias 10 / 100
Alaior 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Ferrerias Alaior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alaior Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alaior let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Alaior lost 3 of their last 5 games.
CD Ferrerias's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
- VS Alaior
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Ferrerias
(Home) 13 May
Espana
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2 Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0 CD Ferrerias
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06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1 Mercadal
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2 Atletico Isleno
01 Apr
CD Ferrerias
1 : 3 Pena Deportiva
18 Mar
CD Ferrerias
0 : 2 UD Poblense
04 Mar
CD Ferrerias
0 : 5 Binissalem
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Alaior
(Away) 12 May
Alaior
1 : 1 Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1 Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3 UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0 Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0 Collerense
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04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1 Alaior
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0 Alaior
13 Apr
Arenal
0 : 1 Alaior
30 Mar
Inter Manacor
1 : 0 Alaior
16 Mar
Felanitx
2 : 0 Alaior
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
