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CD Ferrerias vs Arenal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between CD Ferrerias and Arenal finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ferrerias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Ferrerias
20%
Draws
64%
Arenal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arenal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Arenal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Arenal a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 20%
Arenal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ferrerias Arenal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.67 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Arenal
6:1
Nov 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs CD Ferrerias
2:0
May 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Arenal
1:1
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Arenal vs CD Ferrerias
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ferrerias 12 / 100
Arenal 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ferrerias Arenal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arenal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arenal conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Arenal lost 3 of their last 5 games.

CD Ferrerias's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arenal
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ferrerias

(Home)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
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Arenal

(Away)
19 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 2
Arenal
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
11 May
Llosetense
3 : 0
Arenal
05 May
Arenal
2 : 2
Alcudia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)