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CD Ferrerias vs Norteno CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between CD Ferrerias and Norteno CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norteno CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Ferrerias
20%
Draws
64%
Norteno CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norteno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Norteno CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Norteno CF a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 19%
Norteno CF Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ferrerias Norteno CF
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.73 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.39 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Norteno CF
1:2
Dec 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Norteno CF vs CD Ferrerias
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ferrerias 24 / 100
Norteno CF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ferrerias Norteno CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norteno CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norteno CF has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Norteno CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Ferrerias found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Ferrerias VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ferrerias

(Home)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
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Norteno CF

(Away)
15 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Norteno CF
07 May
Norteno CF
0 : 0
Mercadal
30 Apr
Norteno CF
1 : 0
Alaior
25 Apr
Binissalem
3 : 0
Norteno CF
17 Apr
Norteno CF
0 : 3
Pena Deportiva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)