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CD Ferrerias vs Penya Arrabal

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Ferrerias in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Ferrerias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
CD Ferrerias
15%
Draws
64%
Penya Arrabal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penya Arrabal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Penya Arrabal have won more games recently than CD Ferrerias.
  • Win probability leans Penya Arrabal's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 19%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ferrerias Penya Arrabal
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 1
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 0.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Penya Arrabal
2:1
Sep 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs CD Ferrerias
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ferrerias 16 / 100
Penya Arrabal 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ferrerias Penya Arrabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penya Arrabal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penya Arrabal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Penya Arrabal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Ferrerias scored in 45% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Ferrerias VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ferrerias

(Home)
13 May
Espana
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1
CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2
Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0
CD Ferrerias
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Penya Arrabal

(Away)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)