Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Fortuna vs Trival Valderas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trival Valderas in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Fortuna
30%
Draws
47%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trival Valderas lately — more wins on the board than CD Fortuna.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Trival Valderas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Fortuna Clean Sheet 16%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Fortuna Trival Valderas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.47 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2019 Club Friendly
CD Fortuna vs Trival Valderas
1:0
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Fortuna vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs CD Fortuna
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Fortuna 15 / 100
Trival Valderas 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Fortuna Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

CD Fortuna found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Trival Valderas let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

CD Fortuna went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trival Valderas
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Fortuna

(Home)
05 Sept
CD Fortuna
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
13 May
Mexico
1 : 0
CD Fortuna
06 May
CD Fortuna
1 : 2
AD Colmenar
02 May
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2
CD Fortuna
29 Apr
CD Fortuna
1 : 4
Navalcarnero
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Fuenlabrada 38 22 7 9 60:33 73
2 Real Madrid C 38 19 10 9 65:33 67
3 Puerta Bonita 38 18 12 8 42:32 66
4 Parla 38 18 10 10 60:39 64
5 AD Colmenar 38 17 11 10 59:42 62
6 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 13 9 46:40 61
7 Carabanchel 38 16 12 10 40:32 60
8 Mexico 38 15 11 12 52:43 56
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 15 10 13 47:41 55
10 Colonia Moscardo 38 13 14 11 42:31 53
11 Rayo Majadahonda 38 12 16 10 52:38 52
12 Union Adarve 38 13 13 12 32:34 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 12 12 14 49:52 48
14 Villaviciosa de Odon 38 13 8 17 34:48 47
15 Trival Valderas 38 10 16 12 50:52 46
16 Atletico Pinto 38 12 9 17 42:53 45
17 CD Mostoles 38 11 9 18 38:60 39
18 Navalcarnero 38 8 10 20 41:64 34
19 Vicalvaro 38 7 8 23 28:69 29
20 CD Fortuna 38 4 7 27 17:60 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)