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CD Gares vs CD Cantolagua Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
CD Gares Logo

CD Gares

1 - 0
FT
CD Cantolagua Logo

CD Cantolagua

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Niakate M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between CD Gares and CD Cantolagua finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Gares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Gares
30%
Draws
47%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Cantolagua haven't matched CD Gares's recent run of results.
  • CD Gares are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Cantolagua have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 16%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gares CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 0.73 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs CD Cantolagua
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs CD Gares
2:0
Mar 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs CD Cantolagua
1:4
Nov 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs CD Gares
2:0
Jan 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs CD Gares
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Niakate M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Cantolagua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gares 41 / 100
CD Cantolagua 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gares CD Cantolagua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Cantolagua conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: CD Cantolagua registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Gares scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Gares VS CD Cantolagua
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gares

(Home)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

CD Cantolagua

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Cantolagua
0 : 3
Valle Egues
19 Sept
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)