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CD Gares vs Pena

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Asin Salinas J.
45'
Asin Salinas J.
87' Event
Recalde J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between CD Gares and Pena finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
CD Gares
35%
Draws
55%
Pena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pena come out ahead of CD Gares on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pena a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 19%
Pena Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gares Pena
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 23
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Pena
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Pena vs CD Gares
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gares Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Pena Compare

Top Goalscorer Recalde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iribarren F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gares 10 / 100
Pena 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gares Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

CD Gares's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: CD Gares stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gares

(Home)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

Pena

(Away)
25 Aug
Erriberri
0 : 3
Pena
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
11 Aug
AD San Juan
1 : 1
Pena
09 May
CA Artajones
1 : 2
Pena
03 May
Pena
2 : 1
Subiza
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)