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CD Gares vs Rotxapea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Alonso I.
45' Event
Aranda I.
87'
Galdeano D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between CD Gares and Rotxapea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Gares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
CD Gares
30%
Draws
47%
Rotxapea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rotxapea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Gares carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rotxapea are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 13%
Rotxapea Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gares Rotxapea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 0.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Rotxapea vs CD Gares
3:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Rotxapea
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranda I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Albizu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rotxapea Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gares 27 / 100
Rotxapea 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gares Rotxapea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotxapea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rotxapea conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Rotxapea has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

CD Gares found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

CD Gares VS Rotxapea
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gares

(Home)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
Page 1 of 6

Rotxapea

(Away)
10 May
Rotxapea
2 : 4
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Rotxapea
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 2
Rotxapea
12 Apr
Rotxapea
1 : 4
Cirbonero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)