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Stadium Background

CD Gares vs Txantrea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ibanez I.
77' Event
Orbegozo I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CD Gares
20%
Draws
60%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Txantrea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Txantrea have won more games recently than CD Gares.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Txantrea taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Txantrea have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
CD Gares Clean Sheet 19%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Gares Txantrea
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Txantrea
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs CD Gares
1:0
Apr 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Txantrea
0:1
Nov 27, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs CD Gares
2:1
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Gares vs Txantrea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Gares Compare

Top Goalscorer Orbegozo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Txantrea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibanez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Gares 20 / 100
Txantrea 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Gares Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Txantrea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Txantrea has conceded goals in 86% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Txantrea registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CD Gares scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Txantrea
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Gares

(Home)
10 May
CA Artajones
1 : 1
CD Gares
03 May
CD Gares
0 : 2
Pena
27 Apr
Rotxapea
3 : 0
CD Gares
23 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
CD Gares
16 Apr
CD Gares
0 : 0
Mutilvera
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Txantrea

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Txantrea
1 : 2
Izarra
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)