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CD Guadalajara B vs Marchamalo Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Rivas R.

AI Match Summary

CD Guadalajara B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Guadalajara B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
CD Guadalajara B
20%
Draws
73%
Marchamalo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marchamalo lately — more wins on the board than CD Guadalajara B.
  • Model gives Marchamalo a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
CD Guadalajara B Clean Sheet 17%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Guadalajara B Marchamalo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.89 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara B
2:2
Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Guadalajara B vs Marchamalo
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Guadalajara B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Guadalajara B Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Marchamalo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalajara B 12 / 100
Marchamalo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Guadalajara B Marchamalo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Marchamalo conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: CD Guadalajara B scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

CD Guadalajara B has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Guadalajara B VS Marchamalo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Guadalajara B

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6
CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
12 Sept
CD Villa
1 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
10 May
Azuqueca
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara B
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Marchamalo

(Away)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)