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CD Guadalajara vs 1 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
CD Guadalajara
30%
Draws
54%
1 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • 1 de Mayo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 1 de Mayo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • 1 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 1 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and 1 de Mayo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Guadalajara Clean Sheet 12%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Guadalajara 1 de Mayo
Matches Played 14 25
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara
2:0
Sep 6, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs 1 de Mayo
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs CD Guadalajara
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs 1 de Mayo
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalajara 22 / 100
1 de Mayo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Guadalajara 1 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1 de Mayo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1 de Mayo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

CD Guadalajara's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

CD Guadalajara has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CD Guadalajara VS 1 de Mayo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Guadalajara

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
Central Union
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
1 : 1
CD Guadalajara
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
30 Aug
CD Guadalajara
2 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3

1 de Mayo

(Away)
10 Oct
Deportivo Tigres
0 : 0
1 de Mayo
27 Sept
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
20 Sept
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
CD Guadalajara
12 Sept
Central Union
4 : 0
1 de Mayo
06 Sept
CD Guadalajara
1 : 2
1 de Mayo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)