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CD Guadalajara vs Central Union

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Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

CD Guadalajara play Central Union in the Copa Simon Bolivar. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Guadalajara averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Central Union averaged 0.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, CD Guadalajara won 1, Central Union won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for CD Guadalajara and 0.88 for Central Union. This points to a CD Guadalajara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CD Guadalajara
30%
Draws
34%
Central Union
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Guadalajara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Central Union has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to CD Guadalajara.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for CD Guadalajara.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Simon Bolivar provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
CD Guadalajara Clean Sheet 20%
Central Union Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Guadalajara Central Union
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
CD Guadalajara vs Central Union
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs CD Guadalajara
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalajara 36 / 100
Central Union 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Guadalajara Central Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Guadalajara scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Central Union let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Guadalajara went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Central Union lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Guadalajara VS Central Union
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310