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CD Guadalcacin vs CD Alcala

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2016/2017 game between CD Guadalcacin and CD Alcala finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Guadalcacin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CD Guadalcacin
15%
Draws
85%
CD Alcala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Alcala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alcala come out ahead of CD Guadalcacin on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on CD Alcala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Guadalcacin Clean Sheet 15%
CD Alcala Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Guadalcacin CD Alcala
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.55 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs CD Alcala
3:1
Oct 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Guadalcacin
0:0
May 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Guadalcacin
2:2
Dec 18, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Guadalcacin vs CD Alcala
4:0
Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
CD Alcala vs CD Guadalcacin
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Guadalcacin 10 / 100
CD Alcala 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Guadalcacin CD Alcala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: CD Alcala registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

CD Guadalcacin scored in 39% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Guadalcacin VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Guadalcacin

(Home)
17 Aug
CD Guadalcacin
1 : 4
Antoniano
19 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Ecija
11 May
Los Barrios
7 : 1
CD Guadalcacin
05 May
CD Guadalcacin
0 : 1
Cadiz B
28 Apr
Xerez CD
3 : 0
CD Guadalcacin
Page 1 of 7

CD Alcala

(Away)
13 May
CD Alcala
0 : 2
Sanluqueno
06 May
Sevilla C
4 : 0
CD Alcala
28 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 0
CD Alcala
22 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Castilleja CF
15 Apr
Inter Sevilla
0 : 2
CD Alcala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 6 9 81:35 75
2 Arcos CF 38 21 11 6 76:39 74
3 Ecija 38 20 9 9 69:39 69
4 Algeciras 38 19 11 8 66:34 68
5 San Roque de Lepe 38 19 9 10 68:52 66
6 Atletico Espeleno 38 17 9 12 63:56 60
7 Sevilla C 38 15 13 10 55:39 58
8 AD Ceuta 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
9 Lebrijana 38 14 11 13 45:48 53
10 CD Utrera 38 15 6 17 49:50 51
11 CD Gerena 38 14 7 17 53:53 49
12 Los Barrios 38 13 8 17 31:44 47
13 CD Guadalcacin 38 12 10 16 42:57 46
14 Cabecense 38 10 13 15 47:64 43
15 Castilleja CF 38 12 7 19 44:55 43
16 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 11 10 17 45:66 43
17 CD Alcala 38 12 7 19 37:65 43
18 Antoniano 38 9 13 16 38:59 40
19 Coria C.F. 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
20 San Roque de Cadiz 38 6 6 26 37:79 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)