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CD Las Rozas vs AD Torrejon

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Pozas I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with CD Las Rozas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Las Rozas
20%
Draws
34%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Las Rozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Las Rozas haven't matched AD Torrejon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans CD Las Rozas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • AD Torrejon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CD Las Rozas, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CD Las Rozas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 68%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Las Rozas AD Torrejon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs CD Las Rozas
0:3
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs AD Torrejon
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs CD Las Rozas
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs AD Torrejon
2:0
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs AD Torrejon
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Las Rozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pozas I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

AD Torrejon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Las Rozas 68 / 100
AD Torrejon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Las Rozas AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Las Rozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Las Rozas scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: AD Torrejon conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Las Rozas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Las Rozas VS AD Torrejon
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Las Rozas

(Home)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 7

AD Torrejon

(Away)
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Trival Valderas 2
Leganes B 1
AD Torrejon 0
CD Las Rozas 4
Final
Trival Valderas 4
CD Las Rozas 2