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CD Las Rozas vs Mexico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Presa M.
30' Event
Sanchez R.
42' Event
Presa M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between CD Las Rozas and Mexico finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Las Rozas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
CD Las Rozas
20%
Draws
23%
Mexico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Las Rozas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mexico haven't matched CD Las Rozas's recent run of results.
  • CD Las Rozas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 17%
Mexico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Las Rozas Mexico
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.58 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Mexico
4:3
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Mexico
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Las Rozas
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mexico vs CD Las Rozas
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Mexico
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Las Rozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Presa M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mexico Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarmiento D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Las Rozas 84 / 100
Mexico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Las Rozas Mexico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Las Rozas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Las Rozas's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Mexico let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: CD Las Rozas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Las Rozas VS Mexico
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Las Rozas

(Home)
24 Oct
CD Las Rozas
4 : 3
Mexico
18 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
11 Oct
CD Las Rozas
4 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes B
07 Oct
CD Las Rozas
3 : 0
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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Mexico

(Away)
24 Oct
CD Las Rozas
4 : 3
Mexico
17 Oct
Mexico
2 : 2
Real Aranjuez
11 Oct
Pozuelo de Alarcon
4 : 3
Mexico
03 Oct
Mexico
1 : 0
CP Parla Escuela
27 Sept
Siello
3 : 2
Mexico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 Colonia Moscardo 9 4 5 0 18:8 17
3 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
4 Union Adarve 9 4 4 1 16:11 16
5 Galapagar 9 4 3 2 19:16 15
6 Pozuelo de Alarcon 9 4 3 2 14:16 15
7 Trival Valderas 9 3 5 1 14:11 14
8 Cala Pozuelo 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 AD Torrejon 9 4 1 4 15:8 13
10 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 CP Parla Escuela 9 2 4 3 14:16 10
13 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
14 Mexico 9 1 4 4 13:16 7
15 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
16 Real Aranjuez 9 1 4 4 13:20 7
17 Rayo Vallecano B 9 1 3 5 12:19 6
18 Siello 9 1 1 7 8:28 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)