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Stadium Background

CD Llosa vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 game between CD Llosa and La Nucia finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Llosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
CD Llosa
20%
Draws
69%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Nucia come out ahead of CD Llosa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans La Nucia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
CD Llosa Clean Sheet 18%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Llosa La Nucia
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 5 22
Draws 12 10
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs CD Llosa
5:0
Oct 26, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Llosa vs La Nucia
2:0
Mar 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Llosa vs La Nucia
4:3
Oct 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs CD Llosa
3:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
CD Llosa vs La Nucia
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Llosa 10 / 100
La Nucia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Llosa La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

CD Llosa found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (36 games).

La Nucia let in goals in 37% of their last 38 matches.

Solid form: CD Llosa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS La Nucia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Llosa

(Home)
11 May
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 1
CD Llosa
04 May
CD Llosa
2 : 2
Borriol
27 Apr
Eldense
5 : 0
CD Llosa
20 Apr
CD Llosa
0 : 2
Novelda CF
13 Apr
Espanol de San Vicente
1 : 0
CD Llosa
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La Nucia

(Away)
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)