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CD Marino vs Estrella - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Marino host Estrella in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: CD Marino at 1.39 goals for, 1.45 against; Estrella at 0.9 for, 1.43 against. Past meetings favor CD Marino slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2025, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.58) point toward CD Marino. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CD Marino
20%
Draws
40%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Estrella have won more games recently than CD Marino.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CD Marino taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 14%
Estrella Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino Estrella
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 15 10
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs CD Marino
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Estrella
4:1
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs CD Marino
2:0
Dec 11, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Estrella
5:1
Mar 10, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs CD Marino
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 84 / 100
Estrella 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Marino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CD Marino scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Estrella let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: CD Marino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS Estrella
0.5 Goals Scored 1.17
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
10 Oct
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
CD Marino
04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1
UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
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Estrella

(Away)
10 Oct
Estrella
1 : 0
Los Llanos
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Miguel 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
2 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
3 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
4 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
5 Las Palmas C 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
6 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
10 Estrella 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
11 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
12 Villa Santa Brigida 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
13 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
14 Anaza 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)