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CD Marino vs Herbania

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rivera T.
56' Event
Pirri

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Marino
30%
Draws
39%
Herbania
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Herbania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CD Marino at 1.26 per game, Herbania at 1.17.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 19%
Herbania Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino Herbania
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 15 10
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Herbania
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs CD Marino
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Herbania
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs CD Marino
2:3
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Herbania
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirri
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Herbania Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 32 / 100
Herbania 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino Herbania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herbania has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: CD Marino scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: CD Marino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS Herbania
0.5 Goals Scored 0.57
2 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
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Herbania

(Away)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)