Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Isma
62'
62'
Machin A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between CD Marino and Lanzarote finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanzarote carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Lanzarote's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lanzarote have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 15%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Marino | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 15 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Lanzarote
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs CD Marino
2:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs CD Marino
3:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Lanzarote
2:4
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs CD Marino
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Marino Compare
Top Goalscorer Isma
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Machin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Marino 19 / 100
Lanzarote 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Marino Lanzarote
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
CD Marino's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Lanzarote has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: CD Marino remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Marino VS Lanzarote
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Marino
(Home) 26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6 Tenerife
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6 Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2 Arucas
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 4
Lanzarote
(Away) 19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
28 Mar
Las Palmas C
2 : 0 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
