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CD Marino vs Panaderia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mendoza K.
23' Event
Mora A.
77' Event
Santana Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between CD Marino and Panaderia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panaderia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
CD Marino
20%
Draws
58%
Panaderia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Panaderia come out ahead of CD Marino on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Panaderia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 14%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino Panaderia
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 15 11
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.34 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Panaderia
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Panaderia
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs CD Marino
2:2
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs CD Marino
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Panaderia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Panaderia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santana Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 10 / 100
Panaderia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino Panaderia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panaderia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Marino scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Panaderia let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CD Marino went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS Panaderia
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
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Panaderia

(Away)
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Las Palmas C 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 San Bartolome 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
4 San Miguel 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Panaderia 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
6 Anaza 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 CD Marino 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
8 Estrella 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
9 Los Llanos 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Mensajero 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Real Union Tenerife 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Lanzarote 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
13 Tenerife C 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Villaverde Norte 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
15 Villa Santa Brigida 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
16 Union Sur Yaiza 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
17 CD Laguna 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)