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CD Marino vs San Bartolome Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Perez Gonzalez R.
79' Event
Pirri

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
CD Marino
30%
Draws
51%
San Bartolome
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to San Bartolome lately — more wins on the board than CD Marino.
  • San Bartolome are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 11%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Marino San Bartolome
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 15 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs San Bartolome
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs CD Marino
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs CD Marino
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs San Bartolome
1:0
Apr 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs CD Marino
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Pirri
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

San Bartolome Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Gonzalez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Marino 10 / 100
San Bartolome 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Marino San Bartolome

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Marino scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

San Bartolome's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: CD Marino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Marino VS San Bartolome
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Marino

(Home)
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2
CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1
Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
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San Bartolome

(Away)
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)