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CD Montanas del Pas vs CD Tropezon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
CD Montanas del Pas Logo

CD Montanas del Pas

2 - 0
FT
CD Tropezon Logo

CD Tropezon

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Diliberto M.
63' Event
Santos J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Montanas del Pas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Montanas del Pas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CD Montanas del Pas
15%
Draws
54%
CD Tropezon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Tropezon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Tropezon have won more games recently than CD Montanas del Pas.
  • CD Tropezon are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
CD Montanas del Pas Clean Sheet 13%
CD Tropezon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Montanas del Pas CD Tropezon
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.37 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.95 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Montanas del Pas vs CD Tropezon
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Tropezon vs CD Montanas del Pas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Montanas del Pas Compare

Top Goalscorer Diliberto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Santos J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.47

CD Tropezon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Montanas del Pas 22 / 100
CD Tropezon 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Montanas del Pas CD Tropezon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Tropezon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Montanas del Pas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CD Montanas del Pas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: CD Tropezon conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

CD Montanas del Pas VS CD Tropezon
1.4 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
80% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 38%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Montanas del Pas

(Home)
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
25 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

CD Tropezon

(Away)
19 Sept
Solares
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
13 Jun
CD Tropezon
1 : 0
Arnedo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)