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CD Monte vs Naval Reinosa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
CD Monte Logo

CD Monte

1 - 2
FT
Naval Reinosa Logo

Naval Reinosa

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Baccino S.
15' Event
Prada A.
38' Event
Lorenzo N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naval Reinosa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naval Reinosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Monte
15%
Draws
59%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naval Reinosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Naval Reinosa have won more games recently than CD Monte.
  • Naval Reinosa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
CD Monte Clean Sheet 12%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Monte Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Monte vs Naval Reinosa
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs CD Monte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Monte Compare

Top Goalscorer Prada A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Baccino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorenzo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Monte 22 / 100
Naval Reinosa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Monte Naval Reinosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naval Reinosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naval Reinosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

CD Monte scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

CD Monte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Monte VS Naval Reinosa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Monte

(Home)
10 May
CD Monte
1 : 2
Atletico Mineros
04 May
Vimenor
4 : 1
CD Monte
27 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 1
CD Monte
16 Apr
CD Monte
4 : 2
CD Barquereno
12 Apr
Bezana
1 : 0
CD Monte
Page 1 of 6

Naval Reinosa

(Away)
05 Sept
Velarde
0 : 0
Naval Reinosa
10 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Naval Reinosa
04 May
Naval Reinosa
2 : 0
Bezana
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 4
Naval Reinosa
18 Apr
Naval Reinosa
1 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)