Sport Picks
CD Montuiri vs Ferriolense
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 game between CD Montuiri and Ferriolense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Montuiri.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Montuiri
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Montuiri carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Ferriolense a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and CD Montuiri have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 20%
Ferriolense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Montuiri | Ferriolense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Ferriolense
1:0
Dec 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs CD Montuiri
2:3
Jan 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Ferriolense
3:2
Aug 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Ferriolense vs CD Montuiri
2:3
Apr 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Ferriolense
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Montuiri 28 / 100
Ferriolense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Montuiri Ferriolense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferriolense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferriolense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
CD Montuiri scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: Ferriolense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Ferriolense
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Montuiri
(Home) 15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1 CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0 CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0 CD Montuiri
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08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1 Mercadal
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0 Ferriolense
03 Apr
CD Montuiri
2 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
13 Mar
CD Montuiri
0 : 3 Esporles
01 Mar
CD Montuiri
2 : 0 Binissalem
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Ferriolense
(Away) 19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
12 Jun
Ferriolense
0 : 1 Binissalem
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Ferriolense
0 : 4 Llosetense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
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19 Jun
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 1 Ferriolense
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
22 May
Alcudia
2 : 1 Ferriolense
08 May
Binissalem
3 : 2 Ferriolense
25 Apr
Llosetense
2 : 0 Ferriolense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Formentera | 38 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 41:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Llosetense | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 66:35 | 72 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 57:40 | 72 |
| 4 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:32 | 67 |
| 5 | Constancia | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 64:42 | 66 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 64:37 | 66 |
| 7 | Binissalem | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 63:33 | 66 |
| 8 | Soller | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 9 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 43:50 | 50 |
| 10 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:43 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 34:44 | 43 |
| 13 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 43 |
| 14 | UD Alaro | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 44:55 | 42 |
| 15 | Alcudia | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 32:52 | 42 |
| 16 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 7 | 20 | 11 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 18 | CD Son Cladera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 30:65 | 35 |
| 19 | Manacor | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 36:65 | 31 |
| 20 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 37:73 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
