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CD Montuiri vs Penya Arrabal Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011
CD Montuiri Logo

CD Montuiri

4 - 2
FT
Penya Arrabal Logo

Penya Arrabal

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Montuiri in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Montuiri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
CD Montuiri
15%
Draws
36%
Penya Arrabal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Montuiri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CD Montuiri have won more games recently than Penya Arrabal.
  • CD Montuiri are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Arrabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Montuiri Penya Arrabal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 1
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.5 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Penya Arrabal
4:2
Dec 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Arrabal vs CD Montuiri
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Montuiri 42 / 100
Penya Arrabal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Montuiri Penya Arrabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penya Arrabal conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

CD Montuiri found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Difficult form: Penya Arrabal registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Montuiri VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Montuiri

(Home)
15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1
CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0
CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0
Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0
CD Montuiri
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Penya Arrabal

(Away)
14 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Penya Arrabal
07 May
Penya Arrabal
3 : 1
Felanitx
01 May
CD Montuiri
4 : 2
Penya Arrabal
19 Apr
Penya Arrabal
1 : 4
UD Poblense
17 Apr
Constancia
2 : 0
Penya Arrabal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 38 23 10 5 51:23 79
2 UD Poblense 38 24 6 8 71:44 78
3 Constancia 38 23 9 6 62:25 78
4 Binissalem 38 22 10 6 63:30 76
5 Llosetense 38 23 6 9 70:44 75
6 Pena Deportiva 38 19 12 7 53:25 69
7 Santanyi 38 18 9 11 53:43 63
8 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 12 18 8 47:36 54
9 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 55:45 52
10 Collerense 38 12 11 15 40:49 47
11 CD Montuiri 38 13 7 18 46:58 46
12 Ferriolense 38 12 8 18 48:55 44
13 Campos 38 10 14 14 43:52 44
14 Alcudia 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:56 42
16 CD Ferrerias 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Alaior 38 10 8 20 35:61 38
18 Penya Arrabal 38 8 3 27 45:78 27
19 Norteno CF 38 7 6 25 24:56 27
20 Arenal 38 6 7 25 32:66 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)