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CD Montuiri vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2014/2015 game between CD Montuiri and Penya Ciutadella Esportiva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Montuiri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CD Montuiri
20%
Draws
38%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Montuiri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Montuiri carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CD Montuiri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CD Montuiri Clean Sheet 20%
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Montuiri Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs CD Montuiri
0:2
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
0:2
Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Montuiri vs Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
2:1
Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs CD Montuiri
2:1
Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva vs CD Montuiri
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Montuiri 42 / 100
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Montuiri Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CD Montuiri scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Penya Ciutadella Esportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CD Montuiri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Montuiri

(Home)
15 May
UD Poblense
6 : 1
CD Montuiri
08 May
CD Montuiri
1 : 1
Mercadal
01 May
Formentera
3 : 0
CD Montuiri
24 Apr
CD Montuiri
1 : 0
Ferriolense
16 Apr
Campos
2 : 0
CD Montuiri
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Penya Ciutadella Esportiva

(Away)
14 May
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
1 : 2
Platges de Calvia
06 May
Santa Catalina Atletico
4 : 0
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
29 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
0 : 0
Collerense
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 0
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
08 Apr
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
3 : 0
Campos
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Formentera382013541:1373
2Llosetense382012666:3572
3Pena Deportiva38219857:4072
4Mercadal381910964:3267
5Constancia381991064:4266
6UD Poblense381812864:3766
7Binissalem381715663:3366
8Soller3813141152:5453
9Penya Ciutadella Esportiva381481643:5050
10El Espinar Sant Rafel3812121445:4348
11CD Montuiri381291749:5845
12Campos3810131534:4443
13Collerense3811101742:5243
14UD Alaro3810121644:5542
15Alcudia389151432:5242
16Ferriolense3810111739:5041
17Platges de Calvia387201132:4141
18CD Son Cladera38982130:6535
19Manacor386131936:6531
20Atletico Rafal385112237:7326
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)