Sport Picks
CD Mostoles vs CD Las Rozas
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sanchez V.
22'
22'
Portero A.
37'
37'
Sanchez A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between CD Mostoles and CD Las Rozas finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mostoles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Mostoles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Mostoles carry the better recent record into this one.
- CD Mostoles are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Mostoles | CD Las Rozas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CD Las Rozas
3:1
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs CD Mostoles
2:4
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs CD Mostoles
3:1
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CD Las Rozas
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs CD Mostoles
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CD Mostoles Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sanchez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
CD Las Rozas Compare
Top Goalscorer Portero A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Mostoles 50 / 100
CD Las Rozas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Mostoles CD Las Rozas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
CD Mostoles went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: CD Mostoles scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
CD Las Rozas let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
CD Mostoles VS CD Las Rozas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Mostoles
(Home) 27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1 CD Mostoles
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3 CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0 Burgos CF B
03 May
CD Mostoles
3 : 5 Siello
19 Apr
CD Mostoles
1 : 1 Leganes B
Page 1 of 3
CD Las Rozas
(Away) 20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2 Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3 CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3 CD Las Rozas
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3 CD Las Rozas
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83:46 | 64 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 50:36 | 60 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:46 | 60 |
| 4 | CD Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58:42 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 63:33 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 51:45 | 51 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:35 | 49 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 10 | Galapagar | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 42:47 | 46 |
| 11 | Mexico | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:49 | 45 |
| 12 | Siello | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:34 | 44 |
| 14 | Villaverde San Andres | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 32:44 | 43 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 40:65 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 29:66 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 31:76 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
