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CD Mostoles vs CDE Madrid

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
CD Mostoles Logo

CD Mostoles

3 - 1
FT
CDE Madrid Logo

CDE Madrid

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between CD Mostoles and CDE Madrid finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mostoles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
CD Mostoles
35%
Draws
32%
CDE Madrid
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Mostoles come out ahead of CDE Madrid on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CD Mostoles's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 68%
CDE Madrid Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles CDE Madrid
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.42 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Mostoles vs CDE Madrid
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CDE Madrid vs CD Mostoles
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 68 / 100
CDE Madrid 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles CDE Madrid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CDE Madrid conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: CD Mostoles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

CD Mostoles scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
1 : 3
CD Mostoles
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
16 Aug
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Burgos CF B
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
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CDE Madrid

(Away)
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
23 Apr
CDE Madrid
1 : 0
Real Aranjuez
16 Apr
Trival Valderas
1 : 2
CDE Madrid
09 Apr
CDE Madrid
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
02 Apr
Galapagar
1 : 1
CDE Madrid
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)