Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015

Puerta Bonita

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Mostoles play Puerta Bonita in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, CD Mostoles averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Puerta Bonita averaged 1 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, CD Mostoles won 1, Puerta Bonita won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 13, 2016 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for CD Mostoles and 1.06 for Puerta Bonita. This points to a CD Mostoles double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

CD Mostoles

35%

Draws

23%

Puerta Bonita

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

CD Mostoles picked up more points recently compared to Puerta Bonita.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 40%

Over 3.5 Goals 24%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 22%

Puerta Bonita Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CD Mostoles	Puerta Bonita
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	16	6
Draws	9	11
Losses	10	13
Goals Scored	1.69	1
Goals Conceded	1.14	1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Puerta Bonita vs CD Mostoles

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Mostoles vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 50% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Mostoles vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 4

1:1

Sep 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Puerta Bonita vs CD Mostoles

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Mostoles vs Puerta Bonita

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 42 / 100

Puerta Bonita 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CD Mostoles Puerta Bonita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CD Mostoles or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.6%

2.94

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CD Mostoles attacking → ← attacking Puerta Bonita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mostoles scored in 80% of their last 35 games.

Puerta Bonita let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

CD Mostoles went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Puerta Bonita lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 29

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	38	21	8	9	67:38	71
2	Navalcarnero	38	18	10	10	43:37	64
3	Mexico	38	17	13	8	59:39	64
4	Union Adarve	38	17	12	9	40:31	63
5	Alcorcon B	38	17	12	9	57:41	63
6	San Sebastian Reyes	38	18	8	12	47:32	62
7	DUX Internacional de Madrid	38	16	12	10	48:42	60
8	RSD Alcala	38	13	17	8	41:29	56
9	Real Madrid C	38	16	7	15	50:40	55
10	Pozuelo de Alarcon	38	16	6	16	46:45	54
11	Parla	38	14	11	13	47:39	53
12	Atletico Pinto	38	15	7	16	44:42	52
13	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	7	17	53:66	49
14	Puerta Bonita	38	12	11	15	42:44	47
15	CD Mostoles	38	11	13	14	44:46	46
16	San Fernando de Henares	38	9	17	12	35:42	44
17	Siello	38	10	13	15	37:51	43
18	Alcobendas	38	7	15	16	35:49	36
19	AD Colmenar	38	10	5	23	35:65	35
20	AD Torrejon	38	6	2	30	22:74	20