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CD Mostoles vs RC Alcobendas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
10:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Mostoles host RC Alcobendas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: CD Mostoles at 1.52 goals for, 1.13 against; RC Alcobendas at 1.75 for, 2.13 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.75 - 1.38) back CD Mostoles to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
CD Mostoles
15%
Draws
20%
RC Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mostoles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • RC Alcobendas haven't matched CD Mostoles's recent run of results.
  • CD Mostoles are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
CD Mostoles Clean Sheet 17%
RC Alcobendas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Mostoles RC Alcobendas
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 12 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.52 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Mostoles 84 / 100
RC Alcobendas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Mostoles RC Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mostoles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: RC Alcobendas conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

CD Mostoles scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: CD Mostoles remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

RC Alcobendas lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CD Mostoles VS RC Alcobendas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Mostoles

(Home)
25 Oct
Siello
1 : 6
CD Mostoles
18 Oct
CD Mostoles
3 : 0
Galapagar
11 Oct
Union Adarve
2 : 1
CD Mostoles
04 Oct
CD Mostoles
1 : 1
Leganes B
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
Page 1 of 7

RC Alcobendas

(Away)
25 Oct
Galapagar
4 : 1
RC Alcobendas
18 Oct
RC Alcobendas
1 : 2
Leganes B
10 Oct
Cala Pozuelo
2 : 1
RC Alcobendas
07 Oct
CD Las Rozas
3 : 0
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 8 5 2 1 16:5 17
2 CD Las Rozas 8 5 2 1 20:12 17
3 Pozuelo de Alarcon 8 4 3 1 13:13 15
4 Colonia Moscardo 8 3 5 0 17:8 14
5 Galapagar 8 4 2 2 17:14 14
6 Cala Pozuelo 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
7 Union Adarve 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
8 Trival Valderas 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
9 Leganes B 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
10 AD Torrejon 8 3 1 4 11:7 10
11 CF Fuenlabrada 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
12 RC Alcobendas 8 2 2 4 14:17 8
13 Real Aranjuez 8 1 4 3 12:16 7
14 CP Parla Escuela 8 1 4 3 10:15 7
15 San Sebastian Reyes B 8 2 1 5 14:21 7
16 Mexico 8 1 3 4 12:15 6
17 Rayo Vallecano B 8 1 2 5 11:18 5
18 Siello 8 1 1 6 7:24 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)