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CD Nerja vs Maracena

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
CD Nerja Logo

CD Nerja

1 - 2
FT
Maracena Logo

Maracena

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maracena in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maracena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Nerja
35%
Draws
39%
Maracena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maracena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maracena lately — more wins on the board than CD Nerja.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 20%
Maracena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Nerja Maracena
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 13
Draws 10 12
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs Maracena
1:2
Aug 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs CD Nerja
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Nerja 36 / 100
Maracena 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Nerja Maracena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maracena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Nerja found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Maracena let in goals in 63% of their last 41 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: CD Nerja stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maracena
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Nerja

(Home)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
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Maracena

(Away)
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1
Maracena
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)