Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CD Nerja vs Motril

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
CD Nerja Logo

CD Nerja

1 - 0
FT
Motril Logo

Motril

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between CD Nerja and Motril finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Nerja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CD Nerja
35%
Draws
39%
Motril
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Motril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CD Nerja haven't matched Motril's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Motril a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 12%
Motril Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Nerja Motril
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 19
Draws 10 16
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs Motril
1:0
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Motril vs CD Nerja
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Nerja 19 / 100
Motril 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Nerja Motril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Motril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Nerja found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Motril has conceded goals in 60% of their last 42 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CD Nerja remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Motril
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Nerja

(Home)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
Page 1 of 6

Motril

(Away)
07 Jun
Motril
1 : 1
Arenas Armilla
31 May
Arenas Armilla
1 : 0
Motril
24 May
Motril
0 : 0
Churriana de la Vega
17 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
Motril
10 May
Motril
2 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)