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CD Nerja vs UD San Pedro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012
CD Nerja Logo

CD Nerja

1 - 0
FT
UD San Pedro Logo

UD San Pedro

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 game between CD Nerja and UD San Pedro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Nerja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
CD Nerja
20%
Draws
61%
UD San Pedro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD San Pedro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD San Pedro come out ahead of CD Nerja on wins alone.
  • Model gives UD San Pedro a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
CD Nerja Clean Sheet 20%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Nerja UD San Pedro
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 8 19
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Nerja vs UD San Pedro
1:0
Oct 29, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs CD Nerja
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Nerja 10 / 100
UD San Pedro 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Nerja UD San Pedro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Pedro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Nerja scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

UD San Pedro has conceded goals in 59% of their last 41 outings.

CD Nerja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD San Pedro
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Nerja

(Home)
13 May
Malaga B
4 : 0
CD Nerja
05 May
CD Nerja
0 : 0
Huetor Tajar
01 May
Antequera
4 : 0
CD Nerja
28 Apr
CD Nerja
1 : 0
Motril
22 Apr
Alhaurin
3 : 0
CD Nerja
Page 1 of 6

UD San Pedro

(Away)
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
10 May
UD San Pedro
2 : 1
Arenas Armilla
03 May
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 1
UD San Pedro
26 Apr
UD San Pedro
2 : 0
CD Torreperogil
19 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
2 : 3
UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Loja 40 26 8 6 87:33 86
2 Union Estepona CF 40 26 7 7 76:37 85
3 Marbella 40 24 6 10 66:28 78
4 Maracena 40 24 6 10 66:42 78
5 Malaga B 40 22 10 8 79:37 76
6 Comarca 40 20 10 10 57:34 70
7 Mancha 40 20 10 10 53:34 70
8 UD San Pedro 40 20 7 13 68:47 67
9 El Palo 40 19 8 13 63:57 65
10 Martos 40 18 5 17 49:45 59
11 Melilla B 40 14 12 14 44:51 54
12 CD Ronda 40 13 12 15 49:60 51
13 Alhaurin 40 13 11 16 59:63 50
14 Huetor Tajar 40 12 14 14 50:56 50
15 Motril 40 13 8 19 51:47 47
16 CD Nerja 40 11 13 16 41:57 46
17 Velez 40 11 9 20 38:60 42
18 Arenas Armilla 40 9 10 21 35:51 37
19 Antequera 40 9 10 21 47:70 37
20 Ciudad de Vicar 40 5 3 32 22:78 18
21 UD Carboneras 40 1 1 38 6:119 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)