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CD Ourense vs Verin CF

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 game between CD Ourense and Verin CF finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Ourense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
CD Ourense
20%
Draws
0%
Verin CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Ourense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Ourense come out ahead of Verin CF on wins alone.
  • CD Ourense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CD Ourense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
CD Ourense Clean Sheet 20%
Verin CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Ourense Verin CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 12
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.4 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Verin CF
6:2
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs CD Ourense
1:4
Mar 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Ourense vs Verin CF
4:3
Oct 26, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Verin CF vs CD Ourense
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Ourense 85 / 100
Verin CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Ourense Verin CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ourense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verin CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.75 goals when they meet.

Verin CF lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CD Ourense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Verin CF
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Ourense

(Home)
11 May
CD Ourense
3 : 0
SD Logrones
04 May
Racing Santander
1 : 1
CD Ourense
27 Apr
CD Ourense
1 : 1
Leonesa
20 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
CD Ourense
13 Apr
CD Ourense
0 : 1
Guijuelo
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Verin CF

(Away)
15 May
Verin CF
0 : 1
Bergantinos
08 May
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 0
Verin CF
01 May
Verin CF
0 : 1
Cerceda
24 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 0
Verin CF
17 Apr
Verin CF
0 : 2
Noia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 36 26 4 6 65:33 82
2 Cerceda 36 21 7 8 52:29 70
3 CD Ourense 36 19 11 6 70:34 68
4 Coruxo FC 36 17 13 6 54:32 64
5 Naron 36 18 5 13 49:45 59
6 Alondras 36 14 12 10 48:38 54
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 8 13 46:43 53
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:37 51
9 Racing Club Villalbes 36 12 12 12 36:37 48
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 12 11 13 37:35 47
11 Santa Comba 36 13 7 16 44:48 46
12 Villalonga 36 11 11 14 36:39 44
13 CD Cultural Areas 36 11 11 14 34:50 44
14 Bergantinos 36 11 9 16 30:49 42
15 Pontevedra B 36 11 7 18 44:47 40
16 Somozas 36 11 6 19 40:56 39
17 Lalin 36 9 11 16 38:51 38
18 Celtiga 36 8 12 16 37:45 36
19 Verin CF 36 3 6 27 26:79 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)