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CD Portosantense vs Maritimo B Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ze Thiago
26' Event
Kanu S.
74'
Costantini F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between CD Portosantense and Maritimo B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Portosantense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
CD Portosantense
20%
Draws
34%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Portosantense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Portosantense come out ahead of Maritimo B on wins alone.
  • CD Portosantense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CD Portosantense Clean Sheet 68%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CD Portosantense Maritimo B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.9 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
CD Portosantense vs Maritimo B
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maritimo B vs CD Portosantense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CD Portosantense Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Maritimo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CD Portosantense 59 / 100
Maritimo B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CD Portosantense Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Portosantense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

CD Portosantense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: CD Portosantense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maritimo B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CD Portosantense

(Home)
07 Apr
SC Mirandela
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
24 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 2
Dumiense
17 Mar
Os Sandinenses
0 : 1
CD Portosantense
09 Mar
CD Portosantense
1 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
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Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)