Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with CD Puertollano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castellon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castellon come out ahead of CD Puertollano on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Castellon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor CD Puertollano, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CD Puertollano Clean Sheet 19%
Castellon Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CD Puertollano | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 17, 2014 Copa Federacion
Castellon vs CD Puertollano
2:0
Dec 3, 2014 Copa Federacion
CD Puertollano vs Castellon
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CD Puertollano 32 / 100
Castellon 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CD Puertollano Castellon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CD Puertollano found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Castellon conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
CD Puertollano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Castellon
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CD Puertollano
(Home) 17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0 Daimiel
10 May
Mora CF
3 : 0 CD Puertollano
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0 Madridejos
26 Apr
Villarrubia
1 : 1 CD Puertollano
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1 Toledo 2
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17 May
CD Puertollano
5 : 0 Daimiel
03 May
CD Puertollano
0 : 0 Madridejos
19 Apr
CD Puertollano
2 : 1 Toledo 2
05 Apr
CD Puertollano
3 : 0 Villarrobledo
02 Apr
CD Puertollano
5 : 1 Alcazar
Page 1 of 3
Castellon
(Away) 12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
06 Sept
Castellon
2 : 0 Albacete
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2 Castellon
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0 Sabadell
14 Aug
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1 Castellon
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Girona
1 : 2 Castellon
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2 Castellon
14 Aug
Real Sociedad B
0 : 1 Castellon
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1 Castellon
31 Jul
Alaves
3 : 0 Castellon
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CD Puertollano 1
Castellon 2
Osasuna B 8
Haro Deportivo 0
CD Gerena -
TBD -
Marbella 3
San Roque de Lepe 2
Varea 1
Arandina 3
Marino De Luanco 4
CD Boiro 4
Gijon B 1
Atletico Astorga 3
CD Tropezon 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega 1
Conquense 5
FC Cartagena SAD 0
CD Mostoles 5
Trival Valderas 3
Arroyo 1
Linares 3
Union Viera -
TBD -
Mercadal 3
Baleares 7
Atletico Granadilla -
Toledo -
Prat 1
Almudevar 3
Real Union 3
Amorebieta 1
1/8-finals
Castellon 3
Osasuna B 1
CD Gerena 2
Marbella 1
Arandina 2
CD Boiro 2
Atletico Astorga 3
CD Tropezon 4
Conquense 3
CD Mostoles 2
Linares 6
Union Viera 2
Baleares 2
Toledo 2
Almudevar 1
Real Union 6
Quarter-finals
Castellon 4
CD Gerena 3
Arandina 3
CD Tropezon 5
Conquense 0
Linares 3
Baleares 4
Real Union 5
Semi-finals
Castellon 2
CD Tropezon 1
Linares 0
Real Union 2
Final
Castellon 0
Real Union 4
